Global prediction relies on earth system models, where diverse components (e.g., atmosphere, ocean, wave, sea ice, aerosols, land) are coupled to produce short-range to seasonal forecasts. In NRL's Marine Meteorology Division, basic and applied research is being performed on (1) coupling mechanisms and processes, (2) subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction, (3) model diagnostics, and (4) systematic biases in coupled models. Additionally, a new and emerging frontier in our research is the development and application of coupled deep learning models. We are highly interested in the prediction of key phenomena—such as the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and cyclones—across multiple regions (e.g., polar, tropical, mid-latitudes) and the teleconnections between them. Potential research topics include, but are not limited to, earth system processes, ensemble development, data assimilation, post-processing, and predictability, particularly concerning the causes and predictability of extreme events, and deep learning model development and explainable AI/ML. These research efforts support a variety of critical applications, such as Arctic operations and forecasting hazardous marine conditions.

Reynolds, C., W. Crawford, P. Thoppil, S. Rushley, M. Janiga, J. McLay, N. Barton, 2025: Impact of Ocean Resolution on Navy ESPC Forecast Skill. Weather and Forecasting, 40, 1463-1479, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0241.1

Rushley, S. S., M. A. Janiga, J. A. Ridout, and C. A. Reynolds, 2022: The Impact of Mean-State Moisture Biases on MJO Skill in the Navy ESPC. Mon. Wea. Rev., 150, 1725–1745, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0225.1.

Earth System Modeling; Coupled Modeling; Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction; Meteorology; Numerical Weather Prediction; Model Diagnostics; Atmospheric Modeling; Air-Sea Interactions; Polar Forecasting; Tropical Cyclones; Deep Learning; AI/ML; Ocean Waves

citizenship

Open to U.S. citizens and permanent residents

level

Open to Postdoctoral applicants

Additional Benefits

relocation

Awardees who reside more than 50 miles from their host laboratory and remain on tenure for at least six months are eligible for paid relocation to within the vicinity of their host laboratory.

health insurance

A group health insurance program is available to awardees and their qualifying dependents in the United States.